BEGIN:VCALENDAR VERSION:2.0 PRODID:-//132.216.98.100//NONSGML kigkonsult.se iCalcreator 2.20.4// BEGIN:VEVENT UID:20250909T152840EDT-1706grTOZf@132.216.98.100 DTSTAMP:20250909T192840Z DESCRIPTION:Evan Sadler (Columbia)\n Host: Leonie Baumann.\n\nFalsehoods: Ax ioms for Updating Beliefs in Response to Contradictory Claims\n \n Date: 1st November\, 2019.\n Location: Leacock 429\n\nAbstract:\n We often make high stakes choices based on complex information that we have no way to verify. Careful Bayesian reasoning---assessing every reason why a claim could be false or misleading---is not feasible\, so we necessarily act on faith: we trust certain sources and treat claims as if they were direct observation s of payoff relevant events. This creates a challenge when trusted sources conflict: Practically speaking\, is there a principled way to update beli efs in response to contradictory claims? I propose a model of belief forma tion along with several updating axioms. An impossibility theorem shows th ere is no obvious best answer\, while a representation theorem delineates the boundary of what is possible.\n\n \n\nWebsite: http://www.evandsadler. com\n DTSTART:20191101T193000Z DTEND:20191101T210000Z LOCATION:Leacock 429\, Leacock Building\, CA\, QC\, Montreal\, H3A 2T7\, 85 5 rue Sherbrooke Ouest SUMMARY:Evan Sadler (Columbia)\, 'Falsehoods: Axioms for Updating Beliefs i n Response to Contradictory Claims' URL:/economics/channels/event/evan-sadler-columbia-fal sehoods-axioms-updating-beliefs-response-contradictory-claims-298209 END:VEVENT END:VCALENDAR